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Abu Ghraib Torture Photos

  • Ag15
    The photos America doesn't want seen MORE photographs have been leaked of Iraqi citizens tortured by US soldiers at the notorious Abu Ghraib prison on the outskirts of Baghdad. Tonight the SBS Dateline program plans to broadcast about 60 previously unpublished photographs that the US Government has been fighting to keep secret in a court case with the American Civil Liberties Union. Although a US judge last year granted the union access to the photographs following a freedom-of-information request, the US Administration has appealed against the decision on the grounds their release would fuel anti-American sentiment. Some of the photos are similar to those published in 2004, others are different. They include photographs of six corpses, although the circumstances of their deaths are not clear. There are also pictures of what appear to be burns and wounds from shotgun pellets. The executive producer of Dateline, Mike Carey, said he was showing the pictures leaked to his program because it was important people understood what had happened at Abu Ghraib. Seven US guards were jailed following publication of the first batch of Abu Ghraib photographs in April 2004. Mr Carey said he could not explain why the photographs had not yet been published, as he thought it was likely that some journalists had them. "It think it's strange, maybe they think its more of the same."
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Sunday, October 31, 2004

The Lancet study explained

I have refrained from writing about the stunning conclusions in the Lancet study which claims 100,000 excess deaths since the US/UK invasion of Iraq. Although extensively peer reviewed and done with accepted methodology for war conditions (I'd link to Spencer Ackerman's Burnham interview, but his blog is currently experiencing some technical problems - read lenin's excerpt), the number was so much higher than any other figures put forth - albeit with less reliable methods - that some caution seemed appropriate until more critiques were in. One critique that seemed, as lenin put it, damning, was Fred Kaplan's in Slate. Fortunately for all of us who were so much less enterprising, lenin corresponded with the authors of the Lancet study and obtained a very convincing explanation.

Saturday, October 30, 2004

Shosei Koda found beheaded in Baghdad

Shoseikoda

A headless body believed to be that of Japanese hostage Shosei Koda has been found in Baghdad today. The body was found just off Haifa street wrapped in an American flag.

"Iraqi forces" massacre civilians

I have no idea what this is all about, but this is the first time I've ever heard of "Iraqi forces" responding to a US convoy bombing.

Witnesses told Associated Press Television News that an American convoy was attacked early Saturday near the town of Haswa, about 25 miles south of the capital.

After the U.S. troops pulled out, Iraqi police and National Guards arrived on the scene. Witnesses said Iraqi troops opened fire randomly and used hand grenades, hitting three minibuses and three trucks.

The U.S. military had no immediate comment.

Doctor Salah al-Janabi of Iskandariyah General Hospital said the hospital received at least 11 bodies, and at least another 15 people were injured. He said more casualties could have been taken to other hospitals.

The area is a major insurgent hotspot where ambushes and attacks against U.S. and Iraqi forces are common.

APTN footage showed bloody, dead bodies riddled with bullet holes inside the buses and on the street. Blood and gas was trickling underneath the vehicles. Empty bullet cases were also scattered around.

An APTN cameraman saw at least 18 bodies, while witnesses said there were more than 20 people killed in the incident.

The footage also showed the morgue of Iskandariyah Hospital packed with bodies stacked on top of each other.

This is the area to which the British Black Watch troops were just moved. I'll update this post if any new information surfaces.

Friday, October 29, 2004

Osama bin Forgotten?

Whatever happened to Osama bin Laden, anyway?

Thursday, October 28, 2004

More "Wild Charges" about Al Qa Qaa

Alqaqaapix_04a
Just as the images from inside the Abu Ghraib prison forced the Bush administration to deal with the previously stonewalled allegations of torture in US detention facilities so it seems may happen with the missing explosives controversy.

Using GPS technology and talking with members of the 101st Airborne 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS determined our crew embedded with them may have been on the southern edge of the Al Qaqaa installation, where that ammunition disappeared. Our crew was based just south of Al Qaqaa. On April 18, 2003 they drove two or three miles north into what is believed to be that area.
Alqaqaapix_05a
During that trip, members of the 101st Airborne Division showed the 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS crew bunker after bunker of material labelled explosives. Usually it took just the snap of a bolt cutter to get in and see the material identified by the 101st as detonation cords.Alqaqaapix_07a


"We can stick it in those and make some good bombs." a soldier told our crew."

"The senator is making wild charges about missing explosives when his top foreign-policy adviser admits, quote, 'We do not know the facts,' " he [Bush] said at a rally aimed at enlisting Democratic support, with Sen. Zell Miller of Georgia at his side.
"Think about that: The senator is denigrating the actions of our troops and commanders in the field without knowing the facts."
Alqaqaapix_09a

Actually, we pretty much know how the US takeover of sensitive Iraqi sites went, but Bush is just blowing smoke here. Maybe Kerry's people don't know certain facts, like how long the Bushies have been trying to keep the Iraqis quiet about the Al Qa Qaa incident, or where the explosives are or whether any are known to have been used in any of the car bombs exploding all over Iraq, but the fact that the US military not only had no instructions to take over and secure sensitive sites, often they didn't even know what they were looking at when they arrived at even the most famous ones is indisputably well documented.. See this post for a look at the looting of Al Tuwaitha, for an example: True Believers and the Looting of Iraq

UPDATE: IAEA seals being broken by US troops at Al Qa Qaa.

UPDATE: FReepers must be protected against bad news. Click the link.

EXCLUSIVE: 5 Eyewitness News video may be linked to missing explosives in Iraq

Posted by enjolras7 to jennyjenny
On General/Chat 10/28/2004 4:43:23 PM PDT · 3 of 2

They've pulled the article and banned anyone who posted this tonight.

True Believers and the Looting of Iraq

What is it with the warhawks' sudden recognition of the hypocrisy of the now discarded justification for the invasion of Iraq being to "disarm Saddam?" For an example, Andrew Sullivan, disillusioned Bushie war cheerleader writes:

The reason the story of missing munitions at al Qa Qaa is an important one is not that, in and of itself, it's a huge deal. As Bill Kristol points out in one of the weakest defenses of the administration yet, the NYT story "didn't put it into context how important 380 tons are when there are tens of thousands of explosives in the country." Yes, that's right. Compared to all the other munitions sites that were looted during and after the invasion, al Qa Qaa is not that devastating. But what about all the other sites? What about the fact that a war begun as a means to restrain Saddam's weaponry actually helped disperse it? That's the real issue. And as the facts emerge, I've become convinced of one astounding thing: the Bush administration didn't care very much about the dangers from Saddam's alleged WMDs, or conventional munitions. Safeguarding those sites, keeping those weapons out of the hands of terrorists, was not a major priority.
Emphasis mine. Where to start? The survey showing that Fox News watchers believe the most false information about the invasion and occupation of Iraq is well known, but surely Sullivan, who's covered the Iraq debacle obsessively since its inception, has stumbled across some actual factual reporting.It's been quite clear that the information debunking this justification was available to anyone not willfully blinding themselves. I wrote the following in a debate in June of 2003. It focuses on al Tuwaitha, the major Iraqi nuclear facility:
A timeline for post-invasion al Tuwaitha.

From Marines hold nuclear site APRIL 9 2003.......

Quote:
A few hundred meters outside the complex, where peasants say the "missile water" is stored in mammoth caverns, the Marine radiation detectors go "off the charts."

"It's amazing," said Chief Warrant Officer Darrin Flick, the battalion's nuclear, biological and chemical warfare specialist. "I went to the off-site storage buildings, and the rad detector went off the charts. Then I opened the steel door, and there were all these drums, many, many drums, of highly radioactive material."
*******
"I've never seen anything like it, ever," said Seegar, who leads a company of combat engineers turned into combat grunts. "How did the world miss all of this? Why couldn't they see what was happening here?"

Seegar's biggest headache: Peasant looters, who keep cutting through the miles of barbed wire, no longer electrified because the war killed the power. He cradles in his arms blueprints in Arabic, showing recent construction, and maps in English, detailing which buildings test radioactive. Next to each, Seegar's placed an asterisk.

"Three weeks ago, the scientists seemed to have abandoned the complex," said Seegar. "That's what the villagers say. The place was protected by the Special Republic Guard, but they deserted it, too. Four days ago, everyone was gone. Then we came."


For him, Al-Tuwaitha is like a crime scene, and the next detectives on the atomic beat will be Army specialists.

Seegar promises to hold the nuclear site until international authorities can take over. His men hunker down in sandbag bunkers, sleepless, gripping machine guns.



Okay, are you following along? These Marines get to Tuwaitha, go exploring around and fancy that they've found the smoking gun. They open the storage building, which up until now had intact seals on steel doors.

From Experts:US "Discovery" Of Nuclear Materials Already Known April 10 2003

Quote:
VIENNA (AP)--U.S. troops who suggested they uncovered evidence of an active nuclear weapons program in Iraq unwittingly may have stumbled across known stocks of low-grade uranium and illegally broken U.N. seals, officials said Thursday.

Leaders of a U.S. Marine Corps combat engineering unit claimed earlier this week to have found an underground network of laboratories, warehouses and bombproof offices beneath the closely monitored Tuwaitha nuclear research center just south of Baghdad.


The Marines said they discovered 14 buildings at the site which emitted unusually high levels of radiation, and that a search of one building revealed " many, many drums" containing highly radioactive material. If documented, such a discovery could bolster Bush administration claims that Saddam Hussein was trying to develop nuclear weaponry.

The Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, which has inspected the Tuwaitha nuclear complex at least two dozen times and maintains a thick dossier on the site, had no immediate comment.

But an expert familiar with U.N. nuclear inspections told The Associated Press that it was implausible to believe that U.S. forces had uncovered anything new at the site. Instead, the official said, the Marines apparently broke U.N. seals designed to ensure the materials aren't diverted for weapons use - or end up in the wrong hands.

"What happened apparently was that they broke IAEA seals, which is very unfortunate because those seals are integral to ensuring that nuclear material doesn't get diverted," the expert said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Several tons of low-grade uranium has been stored at Tuwaitha, Iraq's principle nuclear research center and a site that has been under IAEA safeguards for years, the official said. The Iraqis were allowed to keep the material because it was unfit for weapons use without costly and time-consuming enrichment.

The uranium was inspected by the U.N. nuclear agency twice a year and was kept under IAEA seal - at least until early this week, when the Marines seized control of the site.

"It's hard to believe that the U.S. military would not be well aware of this site - it's the center of Iraq's nuclear research activities," the expert told AP. "Just as you wouldn't be surprised to find hamburgers at McDonald's, no one should be surprised to find nuclear materials at this site."


So, the Marines have now blundered into a sealed IAEA inspection site and broken the seals. Notice the date:April 10, 2003 .


New date: APRIL 11 2003 U.N. nuclear agency asks United States to secure Iraqi nuclear complex

Quote:
VIENNA, Austria, Apr 11, 2003 (AP WorldStream via COMTEX) -- The U.N. nuclear agency said Friday it has asked the United States to secure Iraq's main nuclear research center after U.S. Marines reported high levels of radioactivity at the closely monitored site. Mohamed ElBaradei, director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said he received assurances from Washington that the Tuwaitha nuclear research center would be protected and that access to the complex would be restricted.

"Until our inspectors return to Iraq, the U.S. has responsibility for maintaining security at this important storage facility," he said in a statement. "As soon as circumstances permit, the IAEA should return to verify that there been no diversion of this material."

ElBaradei did not directly respond to unconfirmed reports that radiation may be leaking from the complex 30 kilometers (18 miles) south of Baghdad.

But he made it clear that the site is well-known to the nuclear agency, suggesting there was little to document the notion that Saddam Hussein was actively pursuing nuclear weapons there or that the Marines had uncovered anything new.


High radiation levels are normal at the site, "and great care must be taken" when entering storage buildings, the IAEA said Friday.


Follow this? On April 11 the US guaranteed that the site would be scured.

On APRIL 25 2003 the Washington Post reports: U.S. Has Not Inspected Iraqi Nuclear Facility


Quote:
Lt. Col. Michael W. Slifka, a senior leader at Central Command's Sensitive Site Exploitation Planning Team, said U.S. forces had not broken any IAEA seals. But he said in an interview here that he did not know whether seals had been broken by others, because he had not been authorized to dispatch a team with nuclear experts from the Energy Department's national laboratories.

"For force protection reasons, because of the folks we've got there," Slifka said, "we aren't in a position to go inside."


"The site is now secured by coalition forces," he said. "They're safeguarded." Slifa said technicians had taken readings and "established safe zones" to protect U.S. forces and civilians, "but we've left it at that."



Now. One might ask why this site wasn't very high on the priority list of the invaders and why the military approaching the site wasn't thoroughly briefed as to what to expect there. One might even think that getting to the known nuclear sites and guarding them might well be considered "disarming Saddam" and "preventing nuclear materials from falling into the hands of terrorists" wouldn't you?

It is quite clear that the Iraqi scientists and employees fled a few days before the Marines arrived at Tuwaitha around April 10. Minimal looting had occured up until then. The Marines then stumbled about breaking seals and blowing locks off steel doors in their smoking gun excitement.

Then......on MAY 4 2003 the Washington Post reports:

Iraqi Nuclear Site Is Found Looted
U.S. Team Unable to Determine Whether Deadly Materials Are Missing


Quote:
Twenty-three days ago, a smaller U.S. survey team passed by and recommended an immediate increase in security. The following day, April 11, the IAEA listed this site and Tuwaitha as the two requiring the most urgent protection from looters. U.S. Central Command sent a detachment of the Army's 3rd Infantry Division to control the facility's gate.

Rolling in at 8:15 a.m. today, accompanied by two reporters, Navy Cmdr. David Beckett said U.S. troops were reported to be securing the gate. Beckett's master sergeant, a Special Forces soldier who asked to be identified only as Tony, hopped out of the driver's seat and spoke to the lieutenant on duty.

"I don't believe this," he said, returning. "They let workers in here for the past week!"

"Local workers?" Beckett asked.

"Yeah," Tony said.

Employees of the research center -- or Iraqis who said they were employees -- had been coming in by the score for more than two weeks. The 3rd Infantry's security detail had no Arabic speaker and could not verify their stories. In addition, looters had been scavenging inside continuously since U.S. forces took control. At the peak, there were 400 a day. On Friday, the U.S. soldiers detained 62 of them, but many more got away.

"Looters, they see us in Bradleys or on foot," said Capt. Blaine Kusterle, a platoon leader in Alpha Company. "They can outrun us easily because they have a 300-meter start."


So, spare me the sudden conversions to the reality-based community of True Believers who've been slapped upside the head with this missing explosives story. Those of us who refused to worship the War Gods at the altar of the State were not surprised that the RDX and HMX were looted. We expect enormous government programs to be run by incompetents, to be plagued with unintended consequences and for idealistic rhetoric (Liberation! Democracy!) to serve as cover for venal motives. The surprising part is that the hawkosphere finally noticed.

Newest Storyline on Al Qa Qaa - The Russians Did It.

Don't believe Nicholas von Hoffman's ant story. The Russians moved it. And guess where they took it? To Syria, of course! The Washington Times reported it, so beat that for credibility.

Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Theoretical - the ideal candidate

I saw Ron "Spread Liberty at Gunpoint" Bailey take this quiz over at Reason's Hit & Run blog. The quiz said Bailey should vote for Badnarik and my ideal candidate is Theoretical, which seems about right. There's no "Nuke Mecca" question or any form of government question that lets you pick "Theocracy" so some Bushbot warmongers probably don't get sorted out correctly. Bailey, for example, says he's a Bushman.

My results:

  1. Your ideal theoretical candidate. (100%) Click here for info
  2. Badnarik, Michael - Libertarian (87%) Click here for info
  3. Cobb, David - Green Party (62%) Click here for info
  4. Nader, Ralph - Independent (62%) Click here for info
  5. Peroutka, Michael - Constitution Party (55%) Click here for info
  6. Sharpton, Reverend Al - Democrat (54%) Click here for info
  7. Dean, Gov. Howard, VT - Democrat (49%) Click here for info
  8. Brown, Walt - Socialist Party (44%) Click here for info
  9. Kucinich, Rep. Dennis, OH - Democrat (43%) Click here for info
  10. Kerry, Senator John, MA - Democrat (38%) Click here for info
  11. Clark, Retired General Wesley K., AR - Democrat (37%) Click here for info
  12. Edwards, Senator John, NC - Democrat (36%)
For all you Democrats out there who think I'm going to hell for not voting, if I were to participate in the "democratic process" I'd just vote for some loser libertarian anyway, because there is no way I would ever endorse a pro-war candidate.

Eminem's "Mosh" on target

I ran the new Eminem video "Mosh" that everyone is talking about by my 18 year old son. As the son of an anti-state principled non-voter who is extremely opinionated about music, I figured he'd make a good test dummy, the questions being Is this a powerful song and does it make you want to vote?

He was all ready to pull on his black hoody and mosh out the door to the polls, so the song is a winner with its target audience.

Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Throw the bums out

Two writers, one from the hell that is Baghdad under Bush and the other from the nascent Police State that is the US under Republican Emperor Dubya the Divine make the case for throwing the current bums out of power in Washington. Lew Rockwell:

Many bad things would happen under a President Kerry. But many horrible things have happened under the Bush presidency. This is a regime that has exploded government power at a pace I hoped we would never see again. Just once I would like to see one of the Bush supporters write something like:

It is true that he has expanded the budget at twice the rate of Clinton, that he has created the largest and most powerful new federal bureaucracy since the WW2, that he has imposed costly protectionist legislation, that he keeps prisoners of war in violation of international law, that he lied about Iraq, that he is personally responsible for the deaths of 1,100 US soldiers, and 15,000+ Iraqi civilians, that his war has inspired terrorism around the world, and that another four years of this can only mean more loss of liberty and more bloodshed. And yet, I support his reelection for fear of Kerry.

But the Bush supporters don't say that. Instead they liken him to God. They consider him savior. They trust him with leadership. They really credit him with securing the country. They say that he is ruling in the name of liberty. It is remarkable, even demonic. The Bush regime isn't just a group of leaders vying for our affections. It is the world's leading example of the cult of power itself. Kerry may be dangerous but he heads no cult and commands no army of deluded religious fanatics willing to celebrate him as he leads the country into a totalitarian hell of endless war and central administration.

Nonetheless, this is not an endorsement. It is an anti-endorsement. Until the day of real freedom arrives, we need both parties so that they might fight among themselves. Better that they point their guns at each other than at us.

Riverbend, in Baghdad Burning:
Who am I hoping will win? Definitely Kerry. There’s no question about it. I want Bush out of the White House at all costs. (And yes- who is *in* the White House *is* my business- Americans, you made it my business when you occupied my country last year) I’m too realistic to expect drastic change or anything phenomenal, but I don’t want Bush reelected because his reelection (or shall I call it his ‘reassignment’) will condone the wars on Afghanistan and Iraq. It will say that this catastrophe in Iraq was worth its price in American and Iraqi lives. His reassignment to the White House will sanction all the bloodshed and terror we’ve been living for the last year and a half.

I’ve heard all the arguments. His supporters are a lot like him- they’ll admit no mistakes. They’ll admit no deceit, no idiocy, no manipulation, no squandering. It’s useless. Republicans who *don’t* support him, but feel obliged to vote for him, write long, apologetic emails that are meant, I assume, to salve their own conscience. They write telling me that he should be ‘reelected’ because he is the only man for the job at this point. True, he made some mistakes and he told a few fibs, they tell me- but he really means well and he intends to fix things and, above all, he has a plan.

Let me assure you Americans- he has NO PLAN. There is no plan for the mess we’re living in- unless he is cunningly using the Chaos Theory as a basis for his Iraq plan. Things in Iraq are a mess and there is the sense that the people in Washington don’t know what they’re doing, and their puppets in Iraq know even less. The name of the game now in Iraq is naked aggression- it hasn’t been about hearts and minds since complete areas began to revolt. His Iraq plan may be summarized with the Iraqi colloquial saying, “A’athreh ib dafra”, which can be roughly translated to ‘a stumble and a kick’. In other words, what will happen, will happen and hopefully- with a stumble and a kick- things will move in the right direction.

So is Kerry going to be much better? I don’t know. I don’t know if he’s going to fix things or if he’s going to pull out the troops, or bring more in. I have my doubts about how he will handle the current catastrophe in Iraq. I do know this: nothing can be worse than Bush. No one can be worse than Bush. It will hardly be fair to any president after Bush in any case- it's like assigning a new captain to a drowning ship. All I know is that Bush made the hole and let the water in, I want him thrown overboard.

Both Lew and Riverbend emphasize the fact the fanatic partisans devoted to Bush are as dangerous and ludicrously delusional as Bush himself. The combination of this cultish "base" with the evil neocon infestation in positions of power in the Bush administration is clearly worse than the threat Kerry and his supporters pose. I'm with Jacob Sullum, who said "I’d like to see Bush lose, but without Kerry winning."

May whoever wins be stymied with gridlock at every turn and depart office with as illustrious a list of achievements as Glen Garvin's (anwering Reason magazine's poll, Who's getting your vote) favorite president:

Favorite president: William Henry Harrison caught pneumonia while delivering his inaugural address, lay in bed barely conscious for six weeks, and then died, his presidency having done hardly any damage to the country.

Sunday, October 24, 2004

Tomorrow's big story

Alqaqaa

Here's the big story for tomorrow.

Huge Cache of Explosives Vanished From Site in Iraq

Josh Marshall

Michael Froomkin.

Obsidian Wings:

Since this was an IAEA site, its location, and what was there, was known to us before we invaded. What, exactly, were our troops doing that was more important than making sure terrorists didn't make off with 350 tons of very high explosives that can be used either to trigger a nuclear weapon or to kill our troops? I honestly can't think of any way at all that we could have let this happen. If it had been one guy sneaking in and making off with a document, maybe, but I would have thought that it would be impossible for people using heavy equipment to make off with 350 tons of stuff had we been making any serious effort to secure this site. So why didn't we? What could we possibly have been thinking?
[...]
Just asking.
via Chris at Explananda

Massacre in Iraq

Steve Gilliard wrote what struck me as the most insightful take on the execution of almost 50 "cadets" or whatever they're called in Orwellian-Iraqi - semi-"trained" Iraqi National Guards today:

They were betrayed by a member of that unit.

There is simply no other way 50 soldiers are massacred like this.

How many guerillas showed up to do this? A hundred? Or did the unit turn on each other? Something really bad happened here, something which screams total and complete lack of operational security. This was no accident and it was not happenstance.

Whoever waited for these men, waited with the full knowledge that they were coming and prepared to send a rather stark, brutal message.

Not only that soldiers are not safe, but that we can find you and kill you anywhere you go.

This kind of thing requires precise timing and serious force, enough to kill them in a fire fight. This may be the single most stunning guerilla attack of the war, and a real demonstration of strength. These were armed soldiers, trained soldiers and they walked into an ambush and were murdered. Yet, they were so trapped, they couldn't resist and were shot. How does that happen to soldiers?

Stunning.

"It appears that they were ambushed by a large, well-organized force with good intelligence," the source said.

Duh.

UPDATE: Spies suspected in Iraq police massacre

Duh.

Saturday, October 23, 2004

Guerilla entrepreneurs and the Mafia Model for Al Qaeda

Recommended reading

Good stuff at Noah Schachtman's place, taking off from this must-read Washpost article. Schachtman: Bottom line: the Bush administration thinks fighting terrorism is like taking on the Mob; all you have to do is lock up the top bosses, and the gang will fall apart.

What a pleasant little world we'd live in, if that were true. It ain't. Because Al Qaeda isn't a mafia, with a small band of non-replaceable criminal chiefs. It's a cancer. And, by misdiagnosing the problem, the White House is helping it spread. Pay special attention to Frances Fragos Townsend's background and role in Bush's strategy.

The next post, INSURGENTS = ENTREPRENEURS? links to John Robb's site, Global Guerrillas. I'm kicking myself that I haven't read this blog before. A sample:

The long history of warfare is dominated by military entrepreneurs. That dominance was overturned only recently (within an historical context) with the rise of the nation-state and its ideologically motivated armies. However, the trend is going in the other direction, and quickly. Military entrepreneurship is again on the rise. We can see the adoption of military entrepreneurs by the coalition in Iraq. Private military companies (PMCs) field the second largest military force in Iraq, after the US -- the UK is a distant third.

This shift towards military entrepreneurship is even more pronounced in the insurgency in Iraq. Almost all of the guerrillas we are currently fighting were formed through this process. This should come as no surprise to readers of history (and particularly readers of this author, since it appeared here first). Arab warfare, until late in this century, was driven entirely by entrepreneurship. For example: Lawrence of Arabia, the father of modern guerrilla warfare, used combinations of direct payments and the promise of loot to build his forces. Faith played a major part, but it was almost always secondary.

Recent reports confirm from the US military analysts confirm the financial nature of the open source bazaar in Iraq:

  • "Unlimited amounts" of violence capital for guerrilla entrepreneurs is flowing into Iraq from ex-Baathists, relatives of Saddam Hussein, Saudi sources, and bin Laden. Given global guerrilla ROIs (returns on investment) of up to 100,000 x, this should be cause for alarm.

  • Loot from convoy hijackings, theft of oil through bunkering, and ransoms play a major part of the motivation for attacks. Fully 80% of the attacks fall into this category.

  • A granular competitive market. There are over 50 guerrilla groups active in Iraq. The sheer diversity of the effort indicates a process that is very similar to historical patterns of Arab warfare.

  • Price schedules for attacks. The going rate for placing an IED is $100-$300 (more for an RPG attack).
Read the rest...

Friday, October 22, 2004

A Fox News True Believer

A Fox News True Believer:

U.S. Sen. Jim Bunning said yesterday that he was unaware of reports that a unit of Army Reserve soldiers in Iraq had refused an order to deliver fuel for reasons including that their trucks were lightly armored.

"I don't know anything about that," Bunning said during a news conference after a speech he gave to the Rotary Club of Louisville.

Bunning added that Congress had approved money to upgrade body and vehicle armor. "And I believe that has all been accomplished. And I don't know about your reservists," he said. "Unfortunately, we've had some reports, but I don't know the one you're specifically talking about."

When reporters told him that the unit's refusal was a national news story and involved a soldier from Louisville, Bunning said, "Let me explain something: I don't watch the national news, and I don't read the paper. I haven't done that for the last six weeks. I watch Fox News to get my information."

Told that Fox News broadcast the report, Bunning said, "Not the times I watched it. So the fact that somebody was from Louisville, I know about that."

You just can't make stuff this funny up.

Coulter dodges pie attack

As Coulter addressed a question about terrorism, she stopped mid-statement: "You take away the terrorism and liberals would hate…” at that Coulter gasped as she looked to her left, and began backing away from the podium. Two men ran by, on-stage, and each threw a pie at her. They were mobbed as they tried to exit the auditorium.
Reporters are saying that both pies missed, but actually, they passed right through the skeletal Coulter, proving once and for all that she's really not all there.

Oh, look - VIDEO!

Condi Rice, "Trust me...."

Condimelt

"I want to be very clear: There is not going to be a draft in President Bush's next term should the American people return him to power. The fact is, the volunteer Army works" said Condoleeza "Mushroom Cloud" Rice, on the stump for Dubya Em Dee Bush in Pittsburgh.


Thursday, October 21, 2004

Bush's True Believers

We've all met individuals or even groups of people like this, but to see proof of the sheer size, the vastness of the....herd....is truly astonishing.

Even after the final report of Charles Duelfer to Congress saying that Iraq did not have a significant WMD program, 72% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq had actual WMD (47%) or a major program for developing them (25%). Fifty-six percent assume that most experts believe Iraq had actual WMD and 57% also assume, incorrectly, that Duelfer concluded Iraq had at least a major WMD program. Kerry supporters hold opposite beliefs on all these points.

Similarly, 75% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda, and 63% believe that clear evidence of this support has been found. Sixty percent of Bush supporters assume that this is also the conclusion of most experts, and 55% assume, incorrectly, that this was the conclusion of the 9/11 Commission. Here again, large majorities of Kerry supporters have exactly opposite perceptions.

These are some of the findings of a new study of the differing perceptions of Bush and Kerry supporters, conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes and Knowledge Networks, based on polls conducted in September and October.

Steven Kull, director of PIPA, comments, "One of the reasons that Bush supporters have these beliefs is that they perceive the Bush administration confirming them. Interestingly, this is one point on which Bush and Kerry supporters agree." Eighty-two percent of Bush supporters perceive the Bush administration as saying that Iraq had WMD (63%) or that Iraq had a major WMD program (19%). Likewise, 75% say that the Bush administration is saying Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda. Equally large majorities of Kerry supporters hear the Bush administration expressing these views--73% say the Bush administration is saying Iraq had WMD (11% a major program) and 74% that Iraq was substantially supporting al Qaeda.

Steven Kull adds, "Another reason that Bush supporters may hold to these beliefs is that they have not accepted the idea that it does not matter whether Iraq had WMD or supported al Qaeda. Here too they are in agreement with Kerry supporters." Asked whether the US should have gone to war with Iraq if US intelligence had concluded that Iraq was not making WMD or providing support to al Qaeda, 58% of Bush supporters said the US should not have, and 61% assume that in this case the President would not have. Kull continues, "To support the president and to accept that he took the US to war based on mistaken assumptions likely creates substantial cognitive dissonance, and leads Bush supporters to suppress awareness of unsettling information about prewar Iraq."

Amazing.
Link via Steve Soto at the Left Coaster

And here's a quote from Steve:

Gross cognitive dissonance. A mass Stepford complex among Bush’s masses. Legions of people who get their news from a discredited source, who are unable to confront the fact that they are being used and manipulated (see Thomas Frank's "What's Wrong With Kansas"). These same people ascribe mainstream positions and beliefs to their leader contrary to the facts almost as if they are in denial that they fully support a man who is an extremist. As time goes on, their faith in and support of that leader grow so hardened, again stoked by a reinforcing and assistive media, that many of the masses begin imitating the characteristics of their leader, in that they believe they are infallible, more righteous than their peers, and are unwilling to admit error or facts contrary to their beliefs.

In other words, a cult.

Salam Pax does Washington

The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day one


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day two


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day three


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day four


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day five


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day six


The Baghdad Blogger goes to Washington: day seven

"Chip" the torturer goes to prison

Chipabughraib


"Chip" Frederick, posing at left in his capacity as torturer at Abu Ghraib is was a prison guard in his other life. He's going to prison as an inmate this time. I wonder if he'll run into anyone who knows him.

Wednesday, October 20, 2004

A way to help Iraqis...

Raed Jarrar has an interesting idea. If you've ever wished you could help Iraqis deal with the aftermath of sanctions and the invasion as well as the ongoing occupation, this looks like a good way:

One of the last international NGOs, CARE, stopped their work in Iraq after their director was kidnapped yesterday. I used to see her all the time in the NGOs meetings in Baghdad.
Poor woman.

I have much to say about international NGOs and their work in Iraq, about their projects and their expenses, and about their international staff inside the country. But I prefer to postpone this some weeks until this kidnapping thing ends, peacefully as I hope.

With the withdrawal of most of the foreign humanitarian organizations from Iraq, and the incapability of the Iraqi “government” of funding itself much less funding local groups or organizations, the humanitarian crisis in Iraq is getting more serious.

Meanwhile, the U.S. army is planning to attack something around 20 cities and towns that are not under the control of the occupation authority.

“The Jarrars” (i.e. me and my family), decided to start a small individual humanitarian campaign for a month (maybe we’ll extend it) for buying basic things like some medical stuff, food, blankets, and other necessities and send them directly to hospitals in the most affected cities and towns. We will try our best to work under the supervision of one of the few functioning NGOs in Iraq (e.g. Occupation Watch, or others) to give more transparency to this small campaign, but over all the working plan is as follows:
*Money will be donated through PAYPAL to my account, (Jarrar_raed@hotmail.com), and will be reported on my blog frequently.
*My brother Majid will collect the money from Victoria in Canada and wire it to me in Jordan through my bank account.
*I will buy everything from Jordan, and publish the receipts on my blog.
*Then I will send things to my family in Baghdad, where they will send it in turn to hospitals depending on the priority and accessibility of the towns and cities.
*We will get official papers from the hospitals to insure they received the certain amount of supplements; we will publish them on our blogs too.
*We’ll publish a financial break down at the end of the month (end of Nov.)

You can send money from your credit cards too; even small amounts of money can do much in Iraq.

Today I received the first donation from a person in Japan called Tomoko. He sent 10,000 JPY.

Hit Raed's Donation Button!

Tuesday, October 19, 2004

Journalists saved by Google

Journalists in Iraq are learning that having their columns online is a lifesaver - especially if they're not pro-war or pro-occupation. Australian journalist John Martinkus was googled and released:

Iraqi militants who kidnapped a reporter in Baghdad and threatened to kill him Googled his name to investigate his work before releasing him unharmed.

Australian John Martinkus was seized early on Saturday and held for nearly 24 hours before being freed.

His executive producer at an Australian news network, Mike Carey, said that the Internet - often used by Iraqi militants to air grisly images of hostages being beheaded - probably saved Martinkus.

"They Googled him and then went onto a website and saw that he was who he was, and that was instrumental in letting him go, I think, or swinging their decision."

Carey said the company only heard of Martinkus's abduction after his release.

"I got a call from John saying, 'Mate, I'm at my fixer's house, they've dropped us at the fixer's house. I've been kidnapped but I'm free'," he said.

Fixers are local people employed to help journalists.

Martinkus said his kidnappers initially threatened to kill him, before checking on his background.

He said he was treated well once he had told his kidnappers he was an independent reporter not linked to the United States-led coalition in Iraq.

Canadian journalist Scott Taylor , in this interview with AntiWar.com's Chris Deliso relates a similar story:
After torturing me, the mujahedin gave me a pen and paper and told me to write down all the Web sites that might help prove my case. Even though they told me I had "failed the test" afterwards, I'm pretty sure from their behavior that they found enough articles there to vindicate me.

A later interrogator who questioned me at length was especially interested in why I hadn't denounced the "imperialist occupation" of Iraq. He was very clear about this word. Come on – of course I have criticized the occupation on numerous occasions.

Thinking fast, I specifically referred them to one of our earlier interviews, "The Empire Strikes Out," as well as the other interviews on Antiwar.com and on your site, besides other articles I've published.

CD: So, do you think that these interviews helped persuade the mujahedin to release you?

ST: I can't prove that, but I've got to think it was probably a big help. … At very least I think it kept me alive at various points when they easily could have killed me, and would have.

And technically, it was this last group with the "anti-imperialist" leader that released me. So the specific articles I gave them, plus what you get when doing a search for my name and Iraq, yeah, I got to think that it helped swing things in my favor. So … thanks.

For the Republicans on your Christmas gift list...

Check out the Banana Republican Catalog. Just in time for Christmas!

via LewRockwell.com Blog

Monday, October 18, 2004

Chris Albritton on the kidnapping of John Martinkus

Chris Albritton is bailing out of Baghdad, at least. Considering the circumstances surrounding the kidnap and release of Australian journalist John Martinkus, that seems to be a wise move.

Saturday around 2 p.m or so, John was picked up about 500m from our hotel compound. He turned out of the front gate, took the first right -- as most of us do -- and a car stopped in front of him and a tailing car pulled in behind him. Four men with pistols jumped out and three of them managed to force their way into the car, putting guns to the heads of John, his driver and his translator. They then took him to western Baghdad, held him overnight and interrogated him.

We're not sure what all happened during his captivity, but he was able to persuade his captors that he was an Australian and a friend to the resistance and not to the Americans. It appears, by the kidnappers' statements and questions, that they were nationalists and not jihadis, lucky for John. Also, he was lucky for not being American, because the kidnappers said if he had been, they'd have killed him quickly. They had tracked him for three days, they said, and proved it by asking him why he had gone to the Green Zone and to the Palestine on two separate days. This was how they were able to pick him up so easily.
[...]
As frightening as John's experience was for him, it shows that journalists' plans for “security through obscurity” has been blown out the window. John's captors said they received a phone call that he was on the move and that the time for taking him was now. This fits in with our intelligence that there are kidnap teams up and down Jadirya Street looking for us. His captors said they had penetrated the staff at the Hamra Hotel, where many of us live. They have people in the compound watching us. They know who we are and they're looking for “soft targets” -- reporters moving around with little security or few precautions.

Oh, and on the subject of John Martinkus, Alexander Downer is an idiot. Wait...a lying idiot.

Saturday, October 16, 2004

More on suicide missions in Iraq

Rahul Mahajan puts his finger on the central issue of the Iraq occupation which makes the mutiny over the "suicide mission" an important story.

Apparently, an Army Reserve platoon, part of the 343rd Quartermaster Company from Rock Hill, South Carolina, is under arrest for refusing to obey orders to go on what they considered a suicide mission.

Stationed at Tallil Air Base south of Nasiriyah, they were ordered to do a fuel resupply run up to Taji, north of Baghdad. Fuel convoys in the "Sunni Triangle" nearly always come under fire; one soldier reportedly claimed that the chance of being attacked was "99 percent."

The platoon considered their trucks to be extremely unsafe; some were not able to go more than 40 mph, and would be sitting ducks. They ordinarily get an escort of armed Humvees and helicopters, but an escort was not available for the mission.

This actually points to the difficulty the United States would face if it tried to put in significantly larger numbers of troops, as John Kerry seems to want (he doesn't say he'll send more troops to Iraq; he says more troops are needed to do the job, that he intends to do the job, and that he'll increase the combat forces by 40,000 -- you do the math). It's already difficult to find enough escorts for resupply operations; that difficulty will be compounded the more combat troops are put in (because the need for fuel will increase along with the number of troops in the field).

You could increase the number of logistical and supply troops proportionately, maybe, but then you have more and more people to be easily killed by the resistance.

To put what happened in some perspective, consider that one very successful strategy of the resistance has been to target the American logistic structure, which relied heavily on Jordanian and Turkish truckers for resupply. Those who have kept up with the news out of Iraq know that the victims of the Iraqi guerillas have overwhelmingly been collaborators, with an emphasis on truckers. Kidnapped Jordanians and Turks don't make for big news stories in the American press, but these are the people who were trucking in supplies to the US military, and their ranks have been decimated by the guerillas. With the near elimination of any trucking firms either willing or able to resupply the US, the job has only recently fallen to the US military to drive their own convoys.

As Rajul points out above, more troops means more supplies that must be trucked in to Iraq. Even without an increase in troops, more of the US military is on the road in Iraq. The fact that the US now has few to no outside contractors driving the convoys means further overstretch and exposure to attack as soldiers take up the positions abandoned by contractors. Now, instead of military escorts of convoys driven by contractors, the military must drive and escort its own convoys, as well as use its own vehicles. It seems reasonable to assume that this is provoking a crisis in US military operations, partially evidenced by the request for British troops. This is precisely the goal of the Iraqi guerillas, as I pointed out here and as Zarqawi has allegedly announced today.

Today, 5 more US soldiers were killed in car bomb attacks. Yesterday's attacks killed 6 in two separate bombings. Are the US troops more exposed due to the lack of contractors willing to brave insurgent attacks to resupply the US military? Undoubtedly, they are. Look for more troops, increasingly demoralized by their realization that their presence in Iraq is pointless, to refuse more suicide missions.

Friday, October 15, 2004

Al-Zarqawi makes The A-List of Terror

Al-Zarqawi makes the big leagues.

Has anyone ever been taken off the Terror List? Wouldn't the list be shrinking instead of growing if Bush was "Winning the War on Terror," as he claims?

Army platoon arrested for refusing "suicide mission" in Iraq

Army platoon arrested for refusing "suicide mission"

A 17-member Army Reserve platoon with troops from Jackson and around the Southeast deployed to Iraq is under arrest for refusing a "suicide mission" to deliver fuel, the troops' relatives said Thursday.

The soldiers refused an order on Wednesday to go to Taji, Iraq — north of Baghdad — because their vehicles were considered "deadlined" or extremely unsafe, said Patricia McCook of Jackson, wife of Sgt. Larry O. McCook.

Sgt. McCook, a deputy at the Hinds County Detention Center, and the 16 other members of the 343rd Quartermaster Company from Rock Hill, S.C., were read their rights and moved from the military barracks into tents, Patricia McCook said her husband told her during a panicked phone call about 5 a.m. Thursday.

The platoon could be charged with the willful disobeying of orders, punishable by dishonorable discharge, forfeiture of pay and up to five years confinement, said military law expert Mark Stevens, an associate professor of justice studies at Wesleyan College in Rocky Mount, N.C.
[...]
The 343rd is a supply unit whose general mission is to deliver fuel and water. The unit includes three women and 14 men and those with ranking up to sergeant first class.

"I got a call from an officer in another unit early (Thursday) morning who told me that my husband and his platoon had been arrested on a bogus charge because they refused to go on a suicide mission," said Jackie Butler of Jackson, wife of Sgt. Michael Butler, a 24-year reservist. "When my husband refuses to follow an order, it has to be something major."

The platoon being held has troops from Alabama, Kentucky, North Carolina, Mississippi and South Carolina, said Teresa Hill of Dothan, Ala., whose daughter Amber McClenny is among those being detained.

McClenny, 21, pleaded for help in a message left on her mother's answering machine early Thursday morning.

"They are holding us against our will," McClenny said. "We are now prisoners."

Of course, we are only hearing about this because some soldiers managed to alert their families in the States.
Patricia McCook said her husband, a staff sergeant, understands well the severity of disobeying orders. But he did not feel comfortable taking his soldiers on another trip.

"He told me that three of the vehicles they were to use were deadlines ... not safe to go in a hotbed like that," Patricia McCook said.

Hill said the trucks her daughter's unit was driving could not top 40 mph.

"They knew there was a 99 percent chance they were going to get ambushed or fired at," Hill said her daughter told her. "They would have had no way to fight back."

Another ominous item in this story:
Harris said conditions for the platoon have been difficult of late. Her son e-mailed her earlier this week to ask what the penalty would be if he became physical with a commanding officer, she said.

Thursday, October 14, 2004

Zarqawi = Saddam's WMD

Fallujah negotiators deny that al-Zarqawi is in Fallujah:

Iyad Allawi told Iraq's interim assembly that Fallujah must surrender Jordanian Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, America's top enemy in Iraq, or face military action.

"We want to know what proof there is that Zarqawi is in Fallujah," Hatem Maddab, a member of a Fallujah negotiating committee, told Arabic Al Jazeera television, adding that the government had now halted peace talks.

US warplanes have repeatedly struck at targets the military says are hideouts used by Zarqawi and his followers in the Sunni Muslim city 50 kilometres west of Baghdad.

"Zarqawi is like the weapons of mass destruction that America invaded Iraq for," Mr Maddab said, alluding to Saddam Hussein's arsenal of banned arms that proved not to exist.

"We hear about that name (Zarqawi), but he is not here. More than 20 or 30 homes have been bombarded because of this Zarqawi and his followers but only women, children and the elderly have been affected," the negotiator added.

He said the fate of Zarqawi had not been raised in talks with the interim government aimed at restoring state authority in Fallujah before nationwide elections due in January.

"At this point in time, the negotiations are halted for the sake of consultation. We did not suspend any negotiations ... they were stopped by the government," Mr Maddab said.

Mayhem in Iraq - Green Zone casualties

Eight people are dead and four wounded in two explosions in the Green Zone. At least two Americans are among the casualties.:

It is believed to be the first time that insurgents have struck from within the heavily guarded compound that is home to the US and British embassies as well as Iraqi government offices.

Initial reports said that six people were killed and three wounded at the zone's bazaar, while two were killed and an unspecified number were wounded at the Green Zone Café, but later reports amended the death toll to seven, including two Americans.

The blasts sent a large plume of thick, black smoke rising from the zone, home to about 10,000 Iraqis alongside US troops and international officials and contractors.


  • One US soldier killed and two wounded by a roadside bomb in east Baghdad.

  • ......an Iraqi female TV reporter was killed by gunmen in a morning drive-by shooting in Baghdad today.

    Zeina Mahmoud, who worked for Kurdish-run Al-Hurriya TV, was shot by three assailants driving by in an Opel car, said officials.


  • In an apparently unrelated shooting that took place less than a half mile away, a judge was shot dead just minutes earlier.

  • RFE is reporting five assassinations: Iraqi police say five people have died in a series of assassinations today in Baghdad, and the town of Baquba. They include two army officers, a judge, and a woman journalist, who were shot by gunmen.

  • Update: Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi's Tawhid wal Jihad claims responsibility for the Green Zone attack, "Two lions from the `Martyrdom-seeking Brigade` (suicide bombers), which is affiliated to the military wing of Tawhid wal Jihad (Unity and Holy War) group, managed to enter the US embassy compound inside the Green Zone in the capital Baghdad," said the statement posted on the Internet.

Update: AP reporting ten dead in the Green Zone bombings.
Suicide bombers today penetrated Baghdad's heavily-secured Green Zone for the first time, setting off bombs at a market and cafe that left ten dead.

The victims were four Americans and six Iraqis.

The U-S military says the bombs were carried by hand into the fortified zone that houses American and Iraqi government headquarters.

Witnesses say they saw two men carrying backpacks sitting in a cafe full of Americans, chatting and drinking tea. They say a blast was heard after one man left -- and that the second man then set off his bomb.

They say neither man was wearing a required I-D badge.